Raw intelligence is beautiful. By itself, though, it delivers very little.
Put the smartest person on a deserted island and their intelligence alone cannot produce much.
Human development took off not because we suddenly became 10× more intelligent, but because we learned to organize at increasingly larger scales.
Families became tribes. Tribes became cities. Markets, companies, universities, and nations emerged.
Organization compounded intelligence into civilization.
The same principle will likely apply to AI.
The future is probably not a single god-like model that somehow does everything. That's a potentially childish path to real sophistication -- if we take known history seriously.
The more plausible path is learning how to organize artificial entities -- not building a single larger model.
Give them persistent, individualized memories. Let them specialize. Connect them to different tools and sources of knowledge. Let them collaborate over long periods, coordinate, disagree, verify one another, and build on each other's work.
Sophistication won't emerge from a larger model alone.
It will emerge from better organization.
Nature rarely scales by creating one giant, all-powerful organism. It scales through layered, decentralized organization. Cells become tissues. Tissues become organs. Organisms become societies. At every level, complexity emerges from simpler entities working together.
AI will probably evolve the same way.
The breakthroughs won't come from intelligence alone. They'll come from architectures that organize intelligence into systems capable of creating things no isolated model ever could.